Predictions of New
Testament
1. Jerusalem will be surrounded and destroyed,
including children within her walls.
Luke 19:41-4 "But as they came closer to
Jerusalem and Jesus saw the city ahead, he began to cry. 'I wish that even
today you would find the way of peace. But now it is too late,
and peace is hidden from you. Before long your enemies will build ramparts
against your walls and encircle you and close in on you. They will crush
you to the ground and your children with you. Your enemies will not leave
a single stone in place, because you have rejected the opportunity God offered
you.' " This was spoken by Jesus about AD 30. In AD 70
the Romans surrounded and besieged Jerusalem, destroying Jerusalem and all its
inhabitants, including children. Note Jerusalem had been conquered before, and
the Jews taken as slaves, but never before had such mass slaughter been
recorded. More than 500,000 reportedly perished in this event. Chances of
correctly predicting the destruction of Jerusalem along with the slaughter of
children is likely less than 1 in 5.
2. The Jewish temple in Jerusalem will be
completely leveled.
Matthew 24:1-2 "As Jesus was leaving the
Temple grounds, his disciples pointed out to him the various Temple buildings.
But he told them, 'Do you see all these buildings? I assure you, they will
be so completely demolished that not one stone will be left on top of another! '
" With the Roman destruction of Jerusalem, the
temple itself was a particular target and all stones were removed such that none
were left standing. Killing all inhabitants of Jerusalem was extreme, but to go
to the trouble of completely leveling the temple with its huge stones is a lot
of additional trouble. To level house size stones with such mortar would
require special heating methods we understand to loosen the mortar. Probability,
even given destruction of Jerusalem by an angry Roman emperor is approximated as
1 in 2.
3. Jesus predicted judgment upon Capernaum,
Korazin and Bethsaida on the sea of Galilee (sea of Tiberias) and remained
silent about Tiberias.
Matthew 11:20-24 "Then Jesus
began to denounce the cities where he had done most of his miracles, because
they hadn't turned from their sins and turned to God. ' What horrors await you
Korazin and Bethsaida! For if the miracles I did in you had been done in
wicked Tyre and Sidon, their people would have sat in deep repentance long ago,
clothed in sackcloth and throwing ashes on their heads to show their remorse.
I assure you, Tyre and Sidon will be better off on the judgment day than you!
And you people of Capernaum, will you be exalted to heaven? No, you will
be brought down to the place of the dead. For if the miracles I did for
you had been done in Sodom, it would still be here today. I assure you,
Sodom will be better off on the judgment day than you.' "
An earthquake destroyed Capernaum about AD
400. Its ruins have been a site of excavation. Bethsaida and Korazin are no
longer found on the north rim of the Sea of Galilee, and only their approximate
site remains. Tiberias is standing today, well populated. If one was to attempt
to predict decline or advancement of cities, the probability of being right for
any given city would be approximately 3 in 10 for declining and 7 in 10 for
advancement. In a world with increasing population there would be reason in
general for cities to advance in size. Therefore, out of 4 cities on the sea of
Galilee, to predict correctly the decline of 3 cities and to be correctly
silent on the fate of a 4th (Tiberias) would happen 3/10 X 3/10 X 3/10 X 7/10 of
the time = 189/10,000 = .019 % = 1.9%. Note we are also not
talking about the mere decline of cities, but rather the complete loss of two
cities, including their original site, and the complete ruin of a third city.
4. Jesus predicted His death in
Jerusalem and that he would be crucified.
Matthew 16:21 Matthew 26:2
Matt. 16:21 "From then on Jesus began to
tell his disciples plainly that he had to go to Jerusalem, and he told them what
would happen to him there. He would suffer at the hands of the leaders and
the leading priests and the teachers of religious law. He would be killed,
and he would be raised on the third day."
Matt 26:1-2 And it came to pass, when
Jesus had finished all these saying, he said unto his disciples, Ye know that
after two days is the feast of the passover, and the Son of man is betrayed to
be crucified.
Attempted murder occurred several times during
Jesus' ministry at the hands or direct participation of Chief Priests and
Scribes. Note, although Jesus was hated by many of the Chief Priests and
Scribes, they would not wish to be associated with his death directly.
Rather they would prefer to have him stoned for blasphemy unofficially by
a mob out of the city of Jerusalem. Indeed in Nazareth some tried to throw Jesus
off the top of a hill to his death, accusing him of blasphemy, but he eluded
them (Luke 4:29). To be able to correctly predict the city of your death and
manner of your death at that time when surrounded by many who would stone you
anytime and anywhere appears to have a probability of only 1 in 5 or so.
5. Jesus predicted that his chief disciple
Peter would deny him and the time of day.
Luke 22:34 "But Jesus said,
'Peter, let me tell you something. The rooster will not crow tomorrow morning
until you have denied three times that you even know me.' "
Estimate a 1 in 24 probability of
predicting when his trial would end, a 1 in 3 probability that Peter would
follow him to the trial location and a 1 in 100 chance that Peter would deny
knowing him 3 times after drawing his sword to protect him . This is estimated
at 1 in 7200.
6. Jesus predicted that his words will
not pass away.
Luke 21:33 "Heaven and earth
will disappear, but my words will remain forever." A bold statement
from an itinerant Jewish carpenter. Yet his words are preserved with more
accuracy than anyone in history prior to the invention of the printing press.
Assume that Jesus' words had more chance of being preserved due to his
spiritual leadership position and that within his generation there were 1000
Jewish leaders and perhaps 20,000 spiritual leaders from all faiths. The
probability that Jesus' words would be preserved more than any leader of
his day would be 1 in 20,000.
The joint probability that these
predictions made by Jesus (the only ones made) would all be true is equal
to the product of their individual probabilities as well.
The probability that Jesus’
predictions would come to pass without error is estimated conservatively as .00000000000264
or much less than 1 in a billion.